A 401/403 was handled as one thing, so watchpr re-minted on every
rejection and reported "token expired" for a permission boundary or an
anonymous run that had no token to expire, sending the reader after the
wrong problem.
Classify a 401/403 as a rejected credential, a permission denial, or a
request that carried no token, and re-mint only the first.
Reject a re-minted empty token instead of replaying anonymously.
Report the classified cause from --once as well as from the watch loop.
Document watchpr's exit behaviour per cause.